The Effects of Pictorial Realism, Delay of Visual Feedback, and Observer Interactivity on the Subjective Sense of Presence. - Robert Welch; Theodore Blackmon; Andrew Liu 002; Barbara A. Mellers; Lawrence W. Stark (Presence Teleoperators Virtual Environ., 1996)

The Good Judgment Project: A Large Scale Test of Different Methods of Combining Expert Predictions. - Lyle H. Ungar; Barbara A. Mellers; Ville Satopää; Philip Tetlock; Jon Baron (AAAI Fall Symposium: Machine Aggregation of Human Judgment, 2012)

The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts. - Pavel Atanasov; Phillip Rescober; Eric Stone; Emile Servan-Schreiber; Barbara A. Mellers; Philip Tetlock; Lyle H. Ungar (SBP, 2013)

Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme. - Jonathan Baron; Barbara A. Mellers; Philip E. Tetlock; Eric Stone; Lyle H. Ungar (Decis. Anal., 2014)

Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses. - Eva Chen; David V. Budescu; Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth; Barbara A. Mellers; Philip E. Tetlock (Decis. Anal., 2016)

Assessing Objective Recommendation Quality through Political Forecasting. - H. Andrew Schwartz; Masoud Rouhizadeh; Michael Bishop; Philip Tetlock; Barbara A. Mellers; Lyle H. Ungar (EMNLP, 2017)

Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls. - Pavel Atanasov; Phillip Rescober; Eric Stone; Samuel A. Swift; Emile Servan-Schreiber; Philip Tetlock; Lyle H. Ungar; Barbara A. Mellers (Manag. Sci., 2017)

Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition. - Don A. Moore; Samuel A. Swift; Angela Minster; Barbara A. Mellers; Lyle H. Ungar; Philip Tetlock; Heather H. J. Yang; Elizabeth R. Tenney (Manag. Sci., 2017)

Multiple Goals as Reference Points: One Failure Makes Everything Else Feel Worse. - Evan Weingarten; Sudeep Bhatia; Barbara A. Mellers (Manag. Sci., 2019)

Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Belief Updaters Are Better Forecasters. - Pavel Atanasov; Jens Witkowski; Lyle H. Ungar; Barbara A. Mellers; Philip Tetlock (EC, 2020)

Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting. - Ville A. Satopää; Marat Salikhov; Philip E. Tetlock; Barbara A. Mellers (Manag. Sci., 2021)

Crowd Prediction Systems: Markets, Polls, and Elite Forecasters. - Pavel Atanasov; Jens Witkowski; Barbara A. Mellers; Philip Tetlock (EC, 2022)

Prompt Engineering Large Language Models' Forecasting Capabilities. - Philipp Schoenegger; Cameron R. Jones; Philip E. Tetlock; Barbara A. Mellers (CoRR, 2025)