Forecasting AI Progress: A Research Agenda. - Ross Gruetzemacher; Florian Dorner; Niko Bernaola-Alvarez; Charlie Giattino; David Manheim (CoRR, 2020)

Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers. - Baobao Zhang; Noemi Dreksler; Markus Anderljung; Lauren Kahn; Charlie Giattino; Allan Dafoe; Michael C. Horowitz (CoRR, 2022)