The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts. - Pavel Atanasov; Phillip Rescober; Eric Stone; Emile Servan-Schreiber; Barbara A. Mellers; Philip Tetlock; Lyle H. Ungar (SBP, 2013)

Proper Proxy Scoring Rules. - Jens Witkowski; Pavel Atanasov; Lyle H. Ungar; Andreas Krause 001 (AAAI, 2017)

Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls. - Pavel Atanasov; Phillip Rescober; Eric Stone; Samuel A. Swift; Emile Servan-Schreiber; Philip Tetlock; Lyle H. Ungar; Barbara A. Mellers (Manag. Sci., 2017)

SAGE: A Hybrid Geopolitical Event Forecasting System. - Fred Morstatter; Aram Galstyan; Gleb Satyukov; Daniel Benjamin; Andrés Abeliuk; Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri; K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain; Pedro A. Szekely; Emilio Ferrara; Akira Matsui; Mark Steyvers; Stephen Bennett; et al. (IJCAI, 2019)

Anchor Attention for Hybrid Crowd Forecasts Aggregation. - Yuzhong Huang; Andrés Abeliuk; Fred Morstatter; Pavel Atanasov; Aram Galstyan (AAMAS, 2020)

Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Belief Updaters Are Better Forecasters. - Pavel Atanasov; Jens Witkowski; Lyle H. Ungar; Barbara A. Mellers; Philip Tetlock (EC, 2020)

Crowd Prediction Systems: Markets, Polls, and Elite Forecasters. - Pavel Atanasov; Jens Witkowski; Barbara A. Mellers; Philip Tetlock (EC, 2022)

Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events†. - Daniel M. Benjamin; Fred Morstatter; Ali E. Abbas; Andrés Abeliuk; Pavel Atanasov; Stephen Bennett; Andreas Beger; Saurabh Birari; David V. Budescu; Michele Catasta; Emilio Ferrara; Lucas Haravitch; et al. (AI Mag., 2023)

Full Accuracy Scoring Accelerates the Discovery of Skilled Forecasters. - Pavel Atanasov; Ezra Karger; Philip Tetlock (EC, 2024)

Hybrid Forecasting of Geopolitical Events. - Daniel M. Benjamin; Fred Morstatter; Ali E. Abbas; Andrés Abeliuk; Pavel Atanasov; Stephen Bennett; Andreas Beger; Saurabh Birari; David V. Budescu; Michele Catasta; Emilio Ferrara; Lucas Haravitch; et al. (CoRR, 2024)