Paul Goodwin

According to our database, Paul Goodwin authored at least 18 papers between 2004 and 2020.

Collaborative distances:

• Dijkstra number of five.
• Erdős number of four.

2020

Forecasting: theory and practice.

Fotios Petropoulos, Daniele Apiletti, Vassilios Assimakopoulos, Mohamed Zied Babai, Devon K. Barrow, Souhaib Ben Taieb, Christoph Bergmeir, Ricardo J. Bessa, Jakub Bijak, John E. Boylan, Jethro Browell, Claudio Carnevale, Jennifer L. Castle, Pasquale Cirillo, Michael P. Clements, Clara Cordeiro, Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira, Shari De Baets, Alexander Dokumentov, Joanne Ellison, Piotr Fiszeder, Philip Hans Franses, David T. Frazier, Michael Gilliland, Mustafa Sinan Gönül, Paul Goodwin, Luigi Grossi, Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Mariangela Guidolin, Massimo Guidolin, Ulrich Gunter, Xiaojia Guo, Renato Guseo, Nigel Harvey, David F. Hendry, Ross Hollyman, Tim Januschowski, Jooyoung Jeon, Victor Richmond R. Jose, Yanfei Kang, Anne B. Koehler, Stephan Kolassa, Nikolaos Kourentzes, Sonia Leva, Feng Li

CoRR, 2020

2019

Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems: Pitfalls and potential.

George Wright, George Cairns, Frances A. O'Brien, Paul Goodwin

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2019

When providing optimistic and pessimistic scenarios can be detrimental to judgmental demand forecasts and production decisions.

Paul Goodwin, Mustafa Sinan Gönül, Dilek Önkal-Atay

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2019

2018

What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk.

Paul Goodwin, Dilek Önkal-Atay, Herman O. Stekler

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2018

2017

A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naïve forecasts.

Paul Goodwin, Fotios Petropoulos, Rob J. Hyndman

J. Oper. Res. Soc., 2017

When do changes in consumer preferences make forecasts from choice-based conjoint models unreliable?

Sheik Meeran, Semco Jahanbin, Paul Goodwin, Joao Quariguasi Frota Neto

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2017

2016

Do 'big losses' in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts' behaviour?

Fotios Petropoulos, Robert Fildes, Paul Goodwin

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2016

A decision-analysis-based framework for analysing stakeholder behaviour in scenario planning.

George Cairns, Paul Goodwin, George Wright

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2016

2013

Sales Forecasting Using Combination of Diffusion Model and Forecast Market - an Adaption of Prediction/preference Markets.

Sheik Meeran, Karima Dyussekeneva, Paul Goodwin

Proceedings of the 7th IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management, and Control, 2013

2011

Forecasting in supply chain companies: Should you trust your judgment?

Paul Goodwin, Robert Fildes

OR Insight, 2011

2010

Do forecasts expressed as prediction intervals improve production planning decisions?

Paul Goodwin, Dilek Önkal-Atay, Mary E. Thomson

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2010

2009

Teaching scenario planning: Lessons from practice in academe and business.

George Wright, George Cairns, Paul Goodwin

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2009

2007

The Ombudsman: Forecasting Conflict Resolution. Is It Worth Asking an Expert?

Paul Goodwin

Interfaces, 2007

Against Your Better Judgment? How Organizations Can Improve Their Use of Management Judgment in Forecasting.

Robert Fildes, Paul Goodwin

Interfaces, 2007

Forecasting with cue information: A comparison of multiple regression with alternative forecasting approaches.

Konstantinos Nikolopoulos, Paul Goodwin, Alexandros Patelis, Vassilis Assimakopoulos

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2007

2006

The design features of forecasting support systems and their effectiveness.

Robert Fildes, Paul Goodwin, Michael Lawrence

Decis. Support Syst., 2006

2005

Providing support for decisions based on time series information under conditions of asymmetric loss.

Paul Goodwin

Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2005

2004

Feedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecasting.

Paul Goodwin, Dilek Önkal-Atay, Mary E. Thomson, Andrew C. Pollock, Alex Macaulay

Decis. Support Syst., 2004