Robert L. Winkler

Orcid: 0000-0002-1051-6639

According to our database1, Robert L. Winkler authored at least 30 papers between 1973 and 2022.

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Bibliography

2022
Technical Note - Ranking Distributions When Only Means and Variances Are Known.
Oper. Res., 2022

Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts.
Oper. Res., 2022

2019
Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research Perspective.
Decis. Anal., 2019

2018
When to Abandon a Research Project and Search for a New One.
Oper. Res., 2018

2017
Between First- and Second-Order Stochastic Dominance.
Manag. Sci., 2017

Quantile Evaluation, Sensitivity to Bracketing, and Sharing Business Payoffs.
Oper. Res., 2017

Combining Interval Forecasts.
Decis. Anal., 2017

2015
Generalized Almost Stochastic Dominance.
Oper. Res., 2015

2013
Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?
Manag. Sci., 2013

2012
Multiattribute One-Switch Utility.
Manag. Sci., 2012

2011
Tailored Scoring Rules for Probabilities.
Decis. Anal., 2011

2009
Multiattribute Utility Satisfying a Preference for Combining Good with Bad.
Manag. Sci., 2009

Sensitivity to Distance and Baseline Distributions in Forecast Evaluation.
Manag. Sci., 2009

Evaluating Quantile Assessments.
Oper. Res., 2009

2008
Scoring Rules, Generalized Entropy, and Utility Maximization.
Oper. Res., 2008

2007
Probability Elicitation, Scoring Rules, and Competition Among Forecasters.
Manag. Sci., 2007

Decision Making with Multiattribute Performance Targets: The Impact of Changes in Performance and Target Distributions.
Oper. Res., 2007

2006
The Optimizer's Curse: Skepticism and Postdecision Surprise in Decision Analysis.
Manag. Sci., 2006

On Equivalent Target-Oriented Formulations for Multiattribute Utility.
Decis. Anal., 2006

2005
Risky Choices and Correlated Background Risk.
Manag. Sci., 2005

2004
Modifying Variability and Correlations in Winner-Take-All Contests.
Oper. Res., 2004

Multiple Experts vs. Multiple Methods: Combining Correlation Assessments.
Decis. Anal., 2004

1999
Casey's Problem: Interpreting and Evaluating a New Test.
Interfaces, 1999

1995
An Assessment of the Risk of Chronic Lung Injury Attributable to Long-Term Ozone Exposure.
Oper. Res., 1995

1992
Sensitivity of Weights in Combining Forecasts.
Oper. Res., 1992

1985
Research needs and the phenomena of decisionmaking and operations.
IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern., 1985

Evaluating Decision Strategies for Equity of Public Risks.
Oper. Res., 1985

Limits for the Precision and Value of Information from Dependent Sources.
Oper. Res., 1985

1980
Competitive Bidding with Dependent Value Estimates.
Oper. Res., 1980

1973
Information Aggregation in Probabilistic Prediction.
IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern., 1973


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