Barbara A. Mellers

According to our database, Barbara A. Mellers authored at least 12 papers between 1996 and 2022.

Collaborative distances:

• Dijkstra number of five.
• Erdős number of four.

2022

Crowd Prediction Systems: Markets, Polls, and Elite Forecasters.

Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock

Proceedings of the EC '22: The 23rd ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, Boulder, CO, USA, July 11, 2022

2021

Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting.

Ville Satopää, Marat Salikhov, Philip E. Tetlock, Barbara A. Mellers

Manag. Sci., 2021

2020

Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Belief Updaters Are Better Forecasters.

Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock

Proceedings of the EC '20: The 21st ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, 2020

2019

Multiple Goals as Reference Points: One Failure Makes Everything Else Feel Worse.

Evan Weingarten, Sudeep Bhatia, Barbara A. Mellers

Manag. Sci., 2019

2017

Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition.

Don A. Moore, Samuel A. Swift, Angela Minster, Barbara A. Mellers, Lyle H. Ungar, Philip Tetlock, Heather H. J. Yang, Elizabeth R. Tenney

Manag. Sci., 2017

Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls.

Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone, Samuel A. Swift, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Philip Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers

Manag. Sci., 2017

Assessing Objective Recommendation Quality through Political Forecasting.

H. Andrew Schwartz, Masoud Rouhizadeh, Michael Bishop, Philip Tetlock, Barbara A. Mellers, Lyle H. Ungar

Proceedings of the 2017 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, 2017

2016

Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses.

Eva Chen, David V. Budescu, Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock

Decis. Anal., 2016

2014

Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme.

Jonathan Baron, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock, Eric Stone, Lyle H. Ungar

Decis. Anal., 2014

2013

The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts.

Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar

Proceedings of the Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction, 2013

2012

The Good Judgment Project: A Large Scale Test of Different Methods of Combining Expert Predictions.

Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers, Ville Satopää, Philip Tetlock, Jon Baron

Proceedings of the Machine Aggregation of Human Judgment, 2012

1996

The Effects of Pictorial Realism, Delay of Visual Feedback, and Observer Interactivity on the Subjective Sense of Presence.

Robert Welch, Theodore Blackmon, Andrew Liu, Barbara A. Mellers, Lawrence W. Stark

Presence Teleoperators Virtual Environ., 1996