Pavel Atanasov

According to our database, Pavel Atanasov authored at least 8 papers between 2013 and 2023.

Collaborative distances:

• Dijkstra number of four.
• Erdős number of four.

2023

Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events^†.

Daniel M. Benjamin, Fred Morstatter, Ali E. Abbas, Andrés Abeliuk, Pavel Atanasov, Stephen Bennett, Andreas Beger, Saurabh Birari, David V. Budescu, Michele Catasta, Emilio Ferrara, Lucas Haravitch, Mark Himmelstein, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Yuzhong Huang, Woojeong Jin, Regina Joseph, Jure Leskovec, Akira Matsui, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, Xiang Ren, Gleb Satyukov, Rajiv Sethi, Amandeep Singh, Rok Sosic, Mark Steyvers, Pedro A. Szekely, Michael D. Ward, Aram Galstyan

AI Mag., March, 2023

2022

Crowd Prediction Systems: Markets, Polls, and Elite Forecasters.

Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock

Proceedings of the EC '22: The 23rd ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, Boulder, CO, USA, July 11, 2022

2020

Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Belief Updaters Are Better Forecasters.

Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock

Proceedings of the EC '20: The 21st ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, 2020

Anchor Attention for Hybrid Crowd Forecasts Aggregation.

Yuzhong Huang, Andrés Abeliuk, Fred Morstatter, Pavel Atanasov, Aram Galstyan

Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, 2020

2019

SAGE: A Hybrid Geopolitical Event Forecasting System.

Fred Morstatter, Aram Galstyan, Gleb Satyukov, Daniel Benjamin, Andrés Abeliuk, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Pedro A. Szekely, Emilio Ferrara, Akira Matsui, Mark Steyvers, Stephen Bennett, David V. Budescu, Mark Himmelstein, Michael D. Ward, Andreas Beger, Michele Catasta, Rok Sosic, Jure Leskovec, Pavel Atanasov, Regina Joseph, Rajiv Sethi, Ali E. Abbas

Proceedings of the Twenty-Eighth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2019

2017

Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls.

Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone, Samuel A. Swift, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Philip Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers

Manag. Sci., 2017

Proper Proxy Scoring Rules.

Jens Witkowski, Pavel Atanasov, Lyle H. Ungar, Andreas Krause

Proceedings of the Thirty-First AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2017

2013

The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts.

Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar

Proceedings of the Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction, 2013