Philip Tetlock

According to our database1, Philip Tetlock authored at least 8 papers between 2012 and 2020.

Collaborative distances:
  • Dijkstra number2 of five.
  • Erdős number3 of four.

Timeline

Legend:

Book 
In proceedings 
Article 
PhD thesis 
Other 

Links

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Bibliography

2020
Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Belief Updaters Are Better Forecasters.
Proceedings of the EC '20: The 21st ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, 2020

2017
Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition.
Manag. Sci., 2017

Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls.
Manag. Sci., 2017

Assessing Objective Recommendation Quality through Political Forecasting.
Proceedings of the 2017 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, 2017

2016
Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses.
Decis. Anal., 2016

2014
Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme.
Decis. Anal., 2014

2013
The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts.
Proceedings of the Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction, 2013

2012
The Good Judgment Project: A Large Scale Test of Different Methods of Combining Expert Predictions.
Proceedings of the Machine Aggregation of Human Judgment, 2012


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