Ezra Karger

According to our database, Ezra Karger authored at least 9 papers between 2024 and 2026.

Collaborative distances:

• Dijkstra number of four.
• Erdős number of four.

2026

Is Capability a Liability? More Capable Language Models Make Worse Forecasts When It Matters Most.

Nick Merrill, Jaeho Lee, Ezra Karger

CoRR, May, 2026

2025

WOMAC: A Mechanism For Prediction Competitions.

Siddarth Srinivasan, Tao Lin, Connacher Murphy, Anish Thilagar, Yiling Chen, Ezra Karger

CoRR, August, 2025

Large Language Models Are More Persuasive Than Incentivized Human Persuaders.

Philipp Schoenegger, Francesco Salvi, Jiacheng Liu, Xiaoli Nan, Ramit Debnath, Barbara Fasolo, Evelina Leivada, Gabriel Recchia, Fritz Günther, Ali Zarifhonarvar, Joe Kwon, Zahoor Ul Islam, Marco Dehnert, Daryl Y. H. Lee, Madeline G. Reinecke, David G. Kamper, Mert Kobas, Adam Sandford, Jonas Kgomo, Luke Hewitt, Shreya Kapoor, Kerem Oktar, Eyup Engin Kucuk, Bo Feng, Cameron R. Jones, Izzy Gainsburg, Sebastian Olschewski, Nora Heinzelmann, Francisco Cruz, Ben M. Tappin, Tao Ma, Peter S. Park, Rayan Onyonka, Arthur Hjorth, Peter Slattery, Qingcheng Zeng, Lennart Finke, Igor Grossmann, Alessandro Salatiello, Ezra Karger

CoRR, May, 2025

AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy.

Philipp Schoenegger, Peter S. Park, Ezra Karger, Sean Trott, Philip E. Tetlock

ACM Trans. Interact. Intell. Syst., March, 2025

Tell Me Why: Incentivizing Explanations.

Siddarth Srinivasan, Ezra Karger, Michiel Bakker, Yiling Chen

CoRR, February, 2025

Self-Resolving Prediction Markets for Unverifiable Outcomes.

Siddarth Srinivasan, Ezra Karger, Yiling Chen

Proceedings of the 26th ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, 2025

ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities.

Ezra Karger, Houtan Bastani, Yueh-Han Chen, Zachary Jacobs, Danny Halawi, Fred Zhang, Philip Tetlock

Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Conference on Learning Representations, 2025

2024

AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy.

Philipp Schoenegger, Peter S. Park, Ezra Karger, Philip E. Tetlock

CoRR, 2024

Full Accuracy Scoring Accelerates the Discovery of Skilled Forecasters.

Pavel Atanasov, Ezra Karger, Philip Tetlock

Proceedings of the 25th ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, 2024